Hey you kids, get off my WLAN!

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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 14th, 2024

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  • The bubble will burst because investors eventually reach a point where they run out of money to invest in a product that does not return profit.

    OpenAI burns more money than it makes in revenue. And it’s not going to get any better because LLMs are basically at the limit of how much they can be improved after already training on basically the entirety of recorded human knowledge.

    There also isn’t evidence that AI improves productivity enough to make it worth the cost, especially not the true cost of AI. AI services are artificially cheap for users because AI companies will eat the majority of cost with money they get from investors, but if they started charging something like 10x the price to cover the true costs of running the AI, you’d be hard-pressed to find any company that can justify continuing to use the product because of equal or better gains in productivity.









  • Both are possible. I got to N2 in one year as a full-time student in Japan by studying (school + at home) around 6-8 hours per day. People outside of Japan don’t get as many chances to actually use the language, so the same amount of study of course might yield less in that case.

    Most westerners take 2-3 years (3-4 hours per day) to get to N2, which is reasonable. So my hours are about the same, just I crammed two years into one (because I really needed to).

    Whereas many Chinese speakers tend to pass it in less than a year of getting to Japan because they already have a huge head start on kanji knowledge.

    The relationship with languages you already know changes things a lot. The proximity and opportunities to use it are really important too, I think.

    Practically every European I’ve met has pretty good English, I’ve noticed that. But most people in Japan I’ve met don’t. Many, if not, most of them studied it in school. They also get tested on it as part of university entrance exams. But most of them don’t need it much outside of those contexts, so I don’t blame them for not being able to speak English either.