Your comment is well written, but completely unrelated. I said the prediction markets are more accurate then polls (I even found a paper for you), and you reply with an article about “How sometimes it’s hard to determine a result of a bet”, which isn’t applyable here, since election results are well defined. You then continue to rant about predictive markets, but nothing about their accuracy. And BTW, I agree with you.
If I’m wrong, could you please clarify, how their accuracy is connected to their morality?
Your comment is well written, but completely unrelated. I said the prediction markets are more accurate then polls (I even found a paper for you), and you reply with an article about “How sometimes it’s hard to determine a result of a bet”, which isn’t applyable here, since election results are well defined. You then continue to rant about predictive markets, but nothing about their accuracy. And BTW, I agree with you.
If I’m wrong, could you please clarify, how their accuracy is connected to their morality?
When you have people with a finger on the scale making the bets, of course they will be